近年来,中国经济的杠杆率不断攀升,尤其是国企的杠杆率过高,可能会引发系统性的金融风险。在我国经济下行压力不减的背景下,如果放任国企的杠杆率继续上升,将会使风险越聚越多,风险一旦爆发,必将引发金融领域甚至整个经济领域的动荡,其后果可能堪比日本“失去的十年”。因此,去杠杆,尤其是去国有企业的杠杆迫在眉睫。国企高杠杆率的原因是多方面的,国企去杠杆是供给侧结构性改革的重要内容,是一个阵痛的过程,必须周密部署,有计划有步骤地实施,要防止去杠杆引发连锁反应,甚至引发金融风险。要通过深化国企和金融改革来建立去杠杆长效机制,从制度上消除国企杠杆率上升的土壤,推动国有企业健康发展。
<<In recent years,the leverage ratio of China’s economy has been rising,especially the leverage ratio of state-owned enterprises,which may lead to systemic financial risks. In the context of China’s economic downward pressure,if the leveraging rate of the state-owned enterprises continues to rise,the more risks will be increased. Once the risk breaks out,the economic and social turbulence will be caused,and the consequences may be comparable to the “lost ten years” in Japan. Leverage,especially the leverage to state-owned enterprises,is pressing. There are many reasons for the high leverage ratio of the state-owned enterprises. The process of the state-owned enterprises to go to the bar is the process of structural adjustment,and it is also a process of pain. It must be carried out carefully and carefully,to prevent the chain reaction caused by the deleveraging and even the financial risk. We should deepen the reform of state-owned enterprises and finance to establish a long-term mechanism of deleveraging,and eliminate the rebound of leverage.
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