全面认识和科学评价自然灾害风险既是防灾减灾工作的基础环节,也是经济社会可持续发展的迫切需要。本研究构建了符合河南省客观实际的灾害风险评价指标体系,其中包含5个二级指标,23个三级指标;此外,结合非线性灾情指数法设计了万有风险评价模型;在此基础上,评价河南省18个地区的灾害风险,最终呈现出河南省各地区的风险排名。从评估结果能够直观明了地观测出河南省各地区风险现状,有助于相关部门明确工作重心,为地方的防灾减灾救灾规划提供理论指导。
<<A comprehensive understanding and scientific evaluation of natural disasters risk is not only the basis of disaster prevention and mitigation,but also the urgent needs of the economic and social sustainable development. Disaster risk evaluation index system in accordance with Henan Province reality was constructed,which contains 5 secondary indicators and 23 three-level indicators;Moreover,the universal risk evaluation model was designed combined with nonlinear damage evaluation method;Then the disaster risk of 18 districts of Henan Province was evaluated,as well as the urban risk ranking and risk map of 16 districts were presented. The evaluation results can make us see the urban risk situation clearly and intuitively,which helps the related department to clearly focus on their work,as well as provides theoretical guidance for the local disaster prevention and mitigation planning.
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