重大决策社会稳定风险评估源于地方创新并在中央层面被制度化后在全国范围内被普遍推行,至今已经历十余年的发展过程;这一发展过程可被视作包括横向和纵向扩散的政策扩散过程,对其中扩散机制的分析有助于理解和把握该决策机制实施状况与效果。基于对69份地方政策文本的比较分析可以发现,重大决策社会稳定风险评估扩散过程中可能出现政策学习、强制和模仿三种扩散机制;其中,横向扩散更多地表现为政策学习和模仿的产物,而纵向扩散则在更多地表现强制机制的作用的同时亦存在学习和模仿的可能。要改进重大决策社会稳定风险评估的实施效果,需在正视强制机制作用的同时减少模仿的发生,更重要的是应更好地促成政策学习。
<<Social stability risk assessment for government' major decision-making,as an important decision-making mechanism firstly developed from local innovation and then institutionalized by central authority,has been evolving for a decade. This evolving process can be regarded as a kind of policy diffusion process,in which the diffusion mechanisms including policy learning,coercion,and imitation function. Comparative analysis based on 69 local policy texts indicates that the policy learning and imitation were more likely to appear in horizontal diffusion,while coercion were more important in vertical diffusion although in which learning and imitation can also be found. Recommendations on improving the social stability risk assessment based on above research findings are represented.
<<Keywords: | Policy LearningSocial Stability Risk Assessment for Government' Major Decision-makingThe Mechanisms of Policy Diffusion |