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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2017年中国经济社会及财政运行特点分析

    摘要

    2017年中国经济社会及财政运行总体呈现“稳中有进”的发展态势,供给侧结构性改革成效显著,新旧动能转换加快体现在诸多方面,经济增长质量得到改善。从行业、区域、微观等方面看,中国经济上行动力开始快于下行压力,结构型增长表现良好,中国经济在“L”型底部逐步企稳。就业好于预期,第二、第三产业就业容纳度高;人口老龄化有所加快,人口流动有所放缓;城乡居民收入分配差距有所缩小,非农行业收入增长较快;技术进步带动就业增长;社会性支出不断增长,财政收入质量有所改善,税收结构体现出经济结构调整的特征,区域财政收入平衡度增加。未来的一些风险隐患同样不容小觑,需要政府给予适当的重视。

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    Abstract

    In 2017,Chinese economic,social and financial operations generally showed a “steady progress” trend. The supply-side structural reform achieved remarkable results. The acceleration of the conversion of old and new economic impetus was manifested in many aspects and the quality of economic growth also improved. In terms of industries,regions and micro-aspects,Chinese economy started to move faster than the downward pressure and its structural growth was good. Chinese economy stabilized gradually at the bottom of “L”. The employment is better than expected,and the employment capacity of the secondary and tertiary industries is high;The aging of the population has been accelerated and population mobility has slowed down;The income distribution gap between urban and rural residents has narrowed,and the income of non-agricultural industries has increased rapidly;Technological progress leads to employment growth;Social expenditure continues to increase,the quality of fiscal revenue is improved,the tax structure reflects the adjustment of economic structure,and the regional fiscal revenue balance is increased. However,some hidden dangers in the future should not be underestimated,requiring the government to pay more attention.

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    作者简介
    王志刚:王志刚,经济学博士,中国财政科学研究院宏观经济研究中心副主任,研究员,主要研究领域为宏观经济、财税政策评估、政府债务、应用计量经济学等。
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