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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2017年全球新兴产业发展态势和特点

    摘要

    2017年全球经济增速高于预期,宏观经济形势明显好转,以节能环保、高端装备制造、生物医药、新能源、新材料、信息产业、现代物流等为代表的新兴产业平稳增长,连续四年保持了全球产业增长极优势,2017年,全球新兴产业平均增速达到8。1%,比上年和前年同期分别提升0。3个、0。5个百分点。从主要国家新兴产业发展态势看,美国新兴产业融合技术突破引致尖端产品创新和产业战略布局调整;德国“机器人+3D打印”实用技术融合发力引致产业化收获颇丰和制造业巨头强强联合表现活跃;日本“物联网+人工智能”技术普及应用引致机器人产业和能源产业全球跃升。从全球新兴产业发展特点看,新兴产业平稳渡过平台期,再次引领全球经济复苏;以“互联网+大数据+人工智能三位一体解决方案”为核心的新兴产业融合基础技术迅速兴起;新兴产业尖端技术聚焦于自动驾驶、人工智能、物联网、基因测序等四大产业领域;国家、行业、企业间协作竞争成为焦点。从全球新兴产业发展趋势看,以新材料和机器人为代表的新兴产业融合技术产品将在2018年集中发力;各国新兴产业技术与产品标准话语权的争夺态势将转型为区域联合竞争与本国标准建设并重;各国新兴产业将迎来新一轮战略布局修订高峰。

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    Abstract

    In 2017,the global economic growth was higher than expected,the macroeconomic situation improved markedly,and the emerging industries represented by energy-saving and environmental protection,high-end equipment manufacturing,bio-medicine,new energy,new materials,information industry and modern logistics passed the platform smoothly Period,once again leading the global economic recovery,maintaining the global industry growth for four consecutive years,In 2017 the global average growth rate of new industries reached 8.1% over last year and the same period the previous year rose 0.3,0.5 percentage points. Judging from the development trend of emerging industries in major countries,technological breakthroughs in emerging industries in the United States lead to cutting-edge product innovation and industrial strategic layout adjustment. The integration of Germany's “robot + 3D printing” practical technologies has led to considerable industrialization and the manufacturing giant's alliance Performance is active;Japan:“IoT+AI” technology popularization and application of the robot industry and the energy industry led to global jumped. From the perspective of the characteristics of the emerging industries in the world,the emerging industries have smoothly passed the platform period and once again led the global economic recovery. The emerging industrial convergence technologies with the core of “Internet+Big Data+Artificial Intelligence Trinity Solution” are rapidly emerging. The advanced technologies of emerging industries Focus on the four major industries such as autonomous driving,artificial intelligence,Internet of Things,and gene sequencing. State/industry/enterprise cooperation places more emphasis on openness and sharing. From the global trend of emerging industries,emerging industries in the new materials and robots as the representative of the emerging industries converged technology products will focus on force in 2018;emerging industries technology and product standards discourse will be more intense competition in various countries Emerging industries will usher in a new round of strategic layout of the revised peak.

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    作者简介
    刘丹:刘丹,国家工业信息安全发展研究中心高级工程师,博士,研究方向为工业经济运行分析。
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