本文基于2003~2014年“一带一路”沿线国家经济增长数据,改进经济增长基本模型,用以研究制度及FDI流入对“一带一路”沿线国家经济增长的影响问题。回归结果表明,制度是经济增长的内生新动力,并在FDI流入的经济增长效应中发挥着积极的作用,但不同类型的国家制度质量的作用不尽相同,相对于发达国家和发展中国家,转型国家的制度对经济增长的贡献率较高且稳定,制度在FDI流入的经济增长效应中呈现先减少后增加的趋势。此外,根据理论与实证检验结果,本文提出适用于“一带一路”经济发展的制度安排及中国OFDI的进入路径。
<<In this article,based on data of One Belt and One zone countries between year 2003 and 2014,we improve a basic model of economy growth and focus on studying the influence of institution and FDI inflow on those countries’ economic growth. The result of our regression model indicates that institution,which plays a very positive role in the growth effect of FDI inflow,is the inner motivation of economic growth. But,Institution functions in different countries with different institution systems may differ. Comparing with those developed and developing countries,the transitional countries get higher and stable contribution rate of economic growth from their institution. Their growth effect of institution in FDI inflow decreases in the beginning and then increases in the end. Furthermore in the end of this article,we give some useful advices for the institution system arrangement and inflow paths of China’s FDI in One Belt One Zone countries.
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