本文以2000~2015年CSSCI数据库中的应急预案研究文献为分析样本,对国内社会科学领域中的应急预案研究进行述评。综合运用文献计量与内容分析方法,对文献样本的研究主题、核心作者以及学术共同体进行梳理评价并作系统分析。共词分析与内容编码统计结果表明:预案研究主要围绕预案概念、体系、编制、评估、管理、启动与实施六个主题展开,其中预案体系、预案评估与预案编制是近五年关注的重点主题;主要关注一般预案,缺少对特定领域预案的深入分析;主要以政府与事业单位预案为研究对象,缺少针对企业、基层组织以及社会团体预案的研究;应然类研究较多,预案评估与理论检验研究较少。作者共被引分析发现预案研究在管理学、法学、安全科学、灾害研究等学科内部形成集中趋势,同时也形成了跨学科学术共同体。最后,本文提出了未来国内预案研究值得关注的方向。
<<This research provides a systematic review of research papers on emergency plans,published in CSSCI-indexed journals from 2000 to 2015.The research uses bibliometric analysis and content analysis methods to extract major research themes,key authors,and academic institutions.The results of a co-word analysis and a content analysis indicate that:[1] the major research themes in emergency plan studies include the concept,system,formulation,evaluation,management,initiation,and implementation;[2] most research focuses primarily on the general plan,and there is a lack of an in-depth analysis of emergency plans forspecific disasters;[3] the unit of analysis for most of this research is public organizations,with enterprises,grassroots organizations,and social organizations attracting insufficient attention;[4] normative research dominates the literatureand evaluation-type research and theory-testing type research are rare.The results of author co-citation analyses indicate that an interdisciplinary academic community has been emerging,and researchers on management,law,safety science,and disaster research constitute such communities based on the respective disciplines.The article concludes with future directions for research.
<<Keywords: | Literature ReviewContent AnalysisEmergency PlanBibliometric AnalysisAuthor Co-citation Analysis |