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谢伏瞻
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    多米尼加:经济发展稳定,政治前路迷茫

    摘要

    2017年是现任总统梅迪纳第二届任期的第二年。政治方面,尽管梅迪纳本人和解放党一再强调不会参与2020年的总统选举,但执政党解放党提出的开放式初选提案引发在野党不满,两党分歧进一步加剧。在经济方面,多米尼加依然是拉丁美洲和加勒比地区经济增长速度最快的国家之一。财政赤字维持在GDP的2。4%,消费者价格指数低于政府预期目标,贸易赤字降低,利率和汇率均保持稳定。社会方面,腐败问题成为多米尼加最大的社会问题,引发了数次游行示威,但就业率进一步改善,“厄玛”飓风虽然带来巨大损害,但并未造成过多人员伤亡。在外交层面,2017年海地总统率团访问多米尼加,并恢复了联合双边委员会,以处理边界和移民问题,2017年9月,委内瑞拉政府和反对派代表在多米尼加展开双边会谈。

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    Abstract

    2017 is the second year of President Danilo Medina’s second term. Even though Dr.Medina himself,as well as the PLD,emphasized several times that he would not run for the 2020 Presidential Election,Ruling party PLD raised the Open Primaries Initiative,which led to a deepened controversy between PLD and PRM. In terms of economic situation,Dominican Republic remained one of most rapidly developing countries in LAC. The excepted GDP growth,GDP per capita growth and ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP were 5.1%,3.8% and 2.4%,respectively. CPI was lower than the target rate,the balance of trade deficit was lower than previous year,and the interest rate and foreign exchange rate were all steady. On the social aspect,corruption was the most serious social problem,causing several demonstrations within the year. However,the employment was further improved. Hurricane Irma brought significant damages to the country,yet the death rate was much lower than expected. In the aspect of foreign policy,newly-elected President of Haiti visited Dominican Republic in January and both countries reset bilateral relations in May. In September and December,International mediations to resume on Venezuelan crisis were held in Dominican Republic.

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    作者简介
    史沛然:史沛然,经济学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,研究领域为计量经济学。
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