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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    墨西哥:内忧外患中备战大选

    摘要

    墨西哥本届政府公信力严重受损,培尼亚任期最后一年弱势难改。备战2018年大选是各政党的头等大事;2017年经济增速虽高于地区平均水平,但动力不足,且笼罩在北美自由贸易协定重谈不确定性的阴影下;受内外因素影响,左翼民粹主义有崛起之势,腐败和暴力犯罪依然猖獗。大地震等并未给墨西哥经济社会造成较大影响;面对美国保护主义的重重压力,积极拓展与区域内外国家和组织的合作,推进对外发展战略多元化。

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    Abstract

    President Enrique Peña Nieto’s low approval ratings have reflected the perception that his government will remain weak during the remainder of his term;and presidential elections in July 2018 will dominate politics. It is estimated that its GDP growth rate was 2.2% in 2017,which is higher than the regional average level but lower than that in previous year. A lack of momentum in the economy has brought uncertainties to NAFTA’s renegotiation. Due to the complicated situation both internally and externally,the Left-wing populism has regained ground. Severe corruption and high rates of crime and violence have posed preeminent challenges. Although two large earthquakes hit Mexico in the year,it is assumed that the broader economic impact will be relatively contained. Under the pressure of the US’s protectionism,Mexico has positively diversified its foreign strategy.

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    作者简介
    杨志敏:杨志敏,经济学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所研究员、一体化研究室主任、墨西哥研究中心执行主任。主要研究方向为拉美经济、区域经济一体化以及墨西哥问题。
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