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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2017~2018年拉美社会形势:发展遇瓶颈,改革难推进

    摘要

    2017年,拉美地区的社会贫困水平变化不大,减贫工作陷入瓶颈期,中低收入阶层返贫的风险加大,推动贫困继续下降的动力严重不足。拉美经济的缓慢复苏对地区就业形势没有产生积极影响,就业困难、就业质量下降的局面有所加剧,但实际工资水平略有上升。尽管地区经济有所恢复,但社会支出仍维持了适度从紧的趋势。社会不平等的问题无明显改善,收入分配对于拉美国家减贫的效应正在逐渐消失。侨汇收入创下历史新高,主要得益于美国经济的稳定增长和劳动力市场的改善。腐败问题有所加剧,并已成为侵蚀社会风气的毒瘤。社会改革虽进展不一,但遭遇了普遍的社会抗议,反映出拉美国家政府执政目标与民众期望之间的矛盾。

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    Abstract

    In 2017,social poverty in Latin America did not change much. Poverty reduction fell into a bottleneck,low and middle income groups were at risk of returning to poverty,and there was not enough driving force behind poverty reduction. The slow recovery of Latin American economies did not have a positive impact on employment. Employment difficulties and a decline in the quality of employment were aggravated,but the real wage level rose slightly. Despite the recovery of the regional economy,social spending maintained a moderately tight trend. The problem of social inequality did not improve significantly,and the effect of income distribution on poverty reduction in Latin American countries was gradually disappearing. Remittances hit a record high,mainly due to the steady growth of the U.S. economy and the improvement of the labor market. The corruption was aggravated and became a cancer that eroded the social ethos. Despite the uneven progress of social reforms,they encountered widespread social protests,which reflected the contradictions between the goals of Latin American governments and the expectations of the people.

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    作者简介
    林华:林华,经济学学士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所社会文化室副研究员,阿根廷研究中心秘书长,主要研究拉美社会问题和阿根廷。
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