本文从畜产品生产、市场和成本效益的角度对畜牧业经济形势进行分析,并对畜牧业的发展前景进行了展望。2017年,肉类各品种产量同比全面增长,牛奶产量同比略降。整体上,各畜产品价格均呈“上半年下降,下半年上升”的趋势,猪肉价格同比下降明显,牛肉价格高位小幅波动,羊肉价格触底反弹明显,鸡肉价格大幅波动后回归年初高位,牛奶价格低位徘徊。2018年,国内对畜产品的需求将有小幅增长,饲料粮供求进一步宽松也将驱动畜产品供给增加,畜产品价格水平整体上将保持稳定。
<<This report analyzes the animal husbandry economy in the aspects of production,market and cost-benefits,and makes a forecast for 2018. In 2017,the total production of all kinds of meat increased compared to that in 2016,while the production of milk decreased slightly. Overall,the prices of both meat and milk kept decreasing in the first half year and increasing in the second half year. To be specific,the price of pork decreased significantly;beef price fluctuated slightly at a high point;mutton price bottomed out significantly;chicken price returned to the high point which was almost equal to the price at the beginning of the year after a sharp fluctuation,and milk price kept lingering at a low point. In 2018,the demand for livestock production will go up in a small scale,and supply will also increase as the loose relationship between demand and supply of feed grain. General speaking,the prices of livestock products in 2018 will remain stable.
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