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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2017年林业经济状况分析及2018年展望

    摘要

    本文分析了2017年中国林业投资造林、林业生产、林产品贸易和林产品市场状况,并对2018年林业生产和林产品市场发展趋势进行了展望。2017年,中国林业投入规模和造林面积均保持增长的趋势,林业总产值突破7万亿元,第三产业比重进一步提高。国内木材产量继续下降,非木质林产品生产、森林旅游和森林康养业保持良好发展态势。林产品贸易突破1500亿美元,进口增长高达23%,原木、锯材、人造板和木质家具进口均大幅增长。林产品出口困难较大,但中纤板、刨花板、木家具、木框架坐具出口形势尚可。林产品市场供求状况发生变化,主要林产品价格呈现上涨趋势。展望2018年,中国林业生产和林产品市场将在巩固过去成就与继续改革发展中砥砺前行。

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    Abstract

    This paper makes a comprehensive analysis of China’s forestry investment in afforestation,forestry production,forest products trade and forest products market in 2017,and provides an outlook of the development trend of forestry production and forest products in 2018. In 2017,China’s forestry investment scale and afforested area were all increasing;total forestry production exceeded 7 trillion yuan;and the proportion of tertiary industry continued to be improved. The domestic timber output continued declining while,at the same time,the production of non-wood forest products,forest tourism and forest health industry were all maintaining a good trend of development. Besides,forest products trade broke through 150 billion U.S dollars and the imports of forest products increased by as much as 23%. In particular,the imports of logs,sawn timbers,wood-based panels and wooden furniture grew significantly. As a whole,the exports of forest products were poor,but the export of the MDF,chipboard,wooden furniture and wooden frame seat was still acceptable. The forest products market had some changes,i.e.,the price of main forest products showed a rising trend. Looking ahead to 2018,China’s forestry production and forest products market will keep improving in the process of consolidation of the past achievements and continued reform.

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    作者简介
    张海鹏:张海鹏,博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所副研究员,主要研究领域包括城乡关系、资源与环境经济、林业经济理论与政策。
    蒋宏飞:蒋宏飞,博士,中国林业科学研究院林业科技信息研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为林产品国际贸易。
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