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    2018年四川省财政形势分析与预测

    摘要

    2017年是四川省实施“十三五”规划的重要一年,也是四川省深入推进供给侧结构性改革之年。2017年上半年四川经济总体上保持了稳中向好的发展态势。财政收入也稳中向好,与经济运行相适应,全省地方一般公共预算收入完成240。8亿元,同比增加19。8亿元。税收收入稳中有升,税收占比有所提高,2017年上半年全省地方税收收入完成1491。4亿元,增长11%,比上年同期提高1。8个百分点。其中,工业税收增长14。5%,增势稳定;批发零售住宿餐饮业税收增长22。8%,增长较快;建筑地产业税收下降1。1%,跌势趋缓;金融业税收下降1。3%,降幅收窄。2018年,从财政收入来看,持续减税是大趋势,而财政支出刚性增长趋势没有改变。因此,本报告预测,2018年四川省财政收支压力有增无减,财政收入将维持今年稳中有升的态势。

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    Abstract

    In 2017,it is an important year for the implementation of 13th Five-Year Plan. It is also a year to promote the deepening of the supply-side structural reform.In the first half of this year,Sichuan's economy generally maintained steady growth with a good development momentum. In line with its economic operation,local general public budget revenues completed 24.08 brillion yuan,an increase of 1.98 billion yuan over the same month of last year.Tax revenue increased,tax accounts increased,the first half of this year,the province's local tax revenue completed 1491.4 trillion yuan,the increase in 11%,compared with the same period last year by 1.8 percentage points. Among them,the industrial tax increased by 14.5% with a steady increase and the revenue from wholesale and retail accommodation and catering industry increased by 22.8%,while the tax revenue from the construction real estate industry dropped 1.1% and the downward trend;Financial tax revenue declined 1.3%,and the decline narrows. In 2018,in terms of fiscal revenue,continuous tax cuts are major trend,and the trend of rigid growth of fiscal expenditure has not changed. As a result,we predict that the pressure on fiscal revenue and expenditure will increase in 2018,and fiscal revenue will maintain its steady growth.

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    作者简介
    胡建中:胡建中,博士研究生,四川省社会科学院金融与财贸经济研究所助理研究员,主要从事公共经济学、金融学研究。
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