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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    广东对外开放程度、科技发展与制造业转型研究

    摘要

    2008年金融危机以来,随着欧美“再工业化”的实施和向高端生产性服务业的重新布局,国际科技竞争也出现了新的发展趋势。面对严峻的国内外形势,广东制造业的转型升级迫在眉睫。鉴于此,本文从对外开放程度、科技发展和制造业转型升级三者之间的关系分析入手,提出如何促进广东未来的经济发展。分析显示,广东经济发展正面临外贸形势严峻、引进外资增长乏力、科技发展不均衡、工业增加值增速不足、区域工业发展不协调等众多问题。针对这些问题,本文采用格兰杰因果测试分析各方面之间的关系,并就研究结果提出合理化政策建议。

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    Abstract

    Since the financial crisis in 2008,with the implementation of the “re-industrialization” and layout of the high-end production services in Europe and the United States,the international scientific and technological competition has developed toward a new trend. Faced with the grim situation at home and abroad,the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing sector in Guangdong is imminent. In view of this,this paper puts forward how to promote the economic development of Guangdong in the future based on the analysis of the relationship between the degree of opening up,the development of science and technology and the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry. The analysis shows that Guangdong’s economic development is facing a serious situation of foreign trade,weak foreign investment growth,unbalanced development of science and technology,slowly growing of industrial added value,non-coordinated industrial development among regions,and other issues. To solve these problems,this paper uses the Grainger causality test to analyze the relationship between various aspects,and puts forward some reasonable policy recommendations.

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    作者简介
    刘胜:刘胜,男,博士,副教授,广东外语外贸大学国际经济贸易研究中心副主任,主要从事国际投资领域的教学与研究。
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