本文在养老保险相关理论的基础上,结合我国现实情况,构建了一个区域可计算一般均衡模型,用来模拟分析北京市养老保险相关政策。研究结果表明,在养老保险总收入保持不变的情况下,调整优化其结构,有利于经济的发展;从居民收入的角度看,居民、企业和政府缴纳养老保险金的份额从1∶1∶1调整为1∶1∶2更有利于居民收入和社会福利水平的提高。在保持政府对H1类居民转移补贴和居民养老金保险支付总和不变的前提下,减少政府对H1类居民的转移补贴,同时将这部分资金追加给居民养老金保险支付额的方案更有利于解决人口老龄化问题。
<<关键词: | 养老保险区域可计算一般均衡模型转移补贴 |
Based on the theory of the pension insurance and combined with the China’s actual situation,the paper built a regional computable general equilibrium model to simulate and analyze the relevant policies of pension insurance in Beijing City. The results showed that:with the total income of pension insurance remained unchanged,the adjustment and optimization of its structure is conducive to economic development;From the perspective of income,the adjustment of the pension insurance fee’s share of residents,enterprises and governments from 1∶1∶1 to 1∶1∶2 is more conducive to income and social welfare. While keeping the government’s subsides to the H1 residents and residents pension insurance payment unchanged,reducing government’s subsidies to H1 residents and adding this part of the funds to the residents pension insurance payment is more favorable to solve the problem of aging population.
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