亚太经济体2017年经济增速预计为5。5%,略高于2016年5。4%的增速。经济回暖的原因是外部环境的周期性转暖及国内需求的相对强劲,但亚太经济总体复苏强度不及全球经济。区域内多数国家通货膨胀水平较2016年进一步回升;多数国家货币出现贬值;经常账户的失衡水平略有缓和。在区域内的主要经济体中,加拿大经济出现显著上行,韩国和印度尼西亚经济呈现盘整态势,印度和澳大利亚经济出现显著下行。展望2018年,亚太经济的增长前景受到全球宽松外部环境可持续性及国内结构性改革步入深水区的影响,经济增长可能维持常态。
<<The Growth rate of Asia-Pacific region in 2017 is projected to be 5.5%-slightly higher than 5.4% in 2016. The recovery can be attributed to the cyclical recovery of the external environment and the relatively strong domestic demand. But the recovery in Asia-Pacific region is weaker than the global recovery as a whole. Compared with last year,most countries have higher inflation,lower currency value and moderate current account imbalance. Regarding to the major economies of this region,Canada has seen a significant recovery,Korea and Indonesia are under consolidation,India and Australia are experiencing downward pressure. In 2018,the prospect of Asia Pacific Region is affected by the sustainability of favorable external economic environment and the tougher challenge of domestic structural reform. The economy may remain at its “New Normal”.
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