2015年底达成的《巴黎协定》对2020年后全球气候变化治理做出了新的制度安排,但执行《巴黎协定》的相关行动细节尚待进一步明确,“后巴黎”时代国际气候变化科学评估的走向也引起了国际社会的普遍关注。2017年9月,联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)确定了第六次评估报告(AR6)的大纲,此次评估必将深刻影响未来气候变化国际谈判的进程和各国应对气候变化的行动。本文详细介绍了IPCC第六次评估报告的背景、进展和IPCC的未来走向,深入剖析了“后巴黎”时代气候变化科学评估及其与国际应对气候变化制度安排的联系,并提出“后巴黎”时代我国参与气候变化科学评估的相关建议。
<<The Paris Agreement established a new institutional arrangement for the global governance of climate change beyond 2020. As details of the implementation of Paris Agreement need further negotiations,the international community aroused general concern of the scientific assessments of climate change in the post-Paris era. In September 2017,the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) determined the outline of the sixth assessment report (AR6),which will profoundly affect the process of future climate negotiations and the actions of countries to address climate change. This paper summarized the background,progress and future development of the scientific assessment process of IPCC AR6,and analyzed the relationship between scientific assessments of climate change and international response in the post-Paris era. This paper also put forward some relevant suggestions on participation in the scientific assessments of climate change in the post-Paris era for scientific communities of China.
<<