企业出口持续性对于出口贸易稳定发展具有重要影响。本文采用中国制造业企业8位数产品编码出口数据,实证分析了中国2005年人民币汇率形成机制改革前后,金融市场化对企业出口持续性的影响。结果表明,金融市场化显著促进了中国企业出口持续性。在汇率制度改革之前,金融市场化对中国企业出口持续性的正向影响相对较小;在汇率制度改革之后,金融市场化对企业出口持续性的正向影响有所增强。基于子样本的估计结果表明,在汇率制度改革之后,金融市场化对于中国东部地区及中高技术行业企业出口持续性的影响程度明显增强,也更为显著。本文的结论为进一步促进中国出口贸易的健康发展提供了重要参考。
<<Enterprises’export persistence plays an important role in the stable development of export trade.Based on the 8-digit export product data of manufacturing enterprises in China,this paper analyzes the effect of financial liberalization on Chinese enterprises’exports persistence before and after the reform of exchange rate regime in 2005.The results show that financial liberalization has positive and significant effect on enterprises’export persistence.The effect of financial liberalization on enterprises’exports persistence is positive but relatively limited before the reform of exchange rate regime,while the influence of financial liberalization on enterprises’exports persistence is improved after the reform of exchange rate regime.The empirical evidences of subsamples suggest that the impact of financial liberalization on enterprises’exports persistence is increased significantly after the reform of exchange rate regime especially in the eastern provinces and high-tech industries.The evidences provide important reference for the further development of export trade in China.
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