目前,雾霾已成为影响城市健康发展的首要问题之一。本报告在对雾霾决定因素进行辨析的基础上,综合使用中国省级2004~2014年的年度数据、京津冀13个城市2013年12月~2017年4月的月度数据对雾霾决定因素进行识别,证明了煤炭消费是雾霾污染的主要影响因素。研究发现,工业用煤和冬季取暖等煤炭消费是三类空气污染物的主要来源,柴油消费会产生二氧化硫和氮氧化物,但与烟尘的关系较小,汽油消费对三类空气污染物的关系不明确,因而小汽车对空气污染的直接影响较小;对京津冀地区城市月度空气质量数据研究发现,PM2。5与二氧化硫、氮氧化物、一氧化碳的关系显著正相关,主要来源一致,再加上烟尘的主要来源也是煤炭消费,因而支持了PM2。5的主要来源为煤炭消费。在此基础上,本报告提出从清洁消费煤炭、提高煤炭质量、减量消费煤炭三个方面加强雾霾治理力度。
<<In recent years,haze have become the primary problem affecting the healthy development of the cities. From the existing point of view,the determinant of haze is still not clear. Based on the review and analysis of the determinants of haze,this paper makes use of the annual data of China’s provincial level from 2004 to 2014and the monthly data of 13 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from December 2013 to April 2017to identify the haze determinants. We found that industrial coal consumption,winter heating and other coal consumption is the main source of these three types of air pollutants,diesel consumption will produce SO2 and NO2,but has little relationship with the small dust,gasoline consumption don’t have significant relationship with them. The relationship between PM2.5 and SO2,NO2 and CO show a significant positive correlation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. It is possible to judge that coal consumption is the main source of PM2.5,and the relationship between PM2.5 and soot can also show this. On this basis,this paper puts forward advice to strengthen the governance of the haze by the clean consumption of coal,improving the quality of coal and reducing consumption of coal.
<<Keywords: | Air QualityPM2.5Coal ConsumptionHaze |