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    2016年加拿大经济形势

    摘要

    2016年加拿大实际GDP较上年有所增长,这一增长主要来自家庭最终消费支出的增长。该年加拿大经济增长存在各种不稳定因素,比如投资和对外贸易的下降,其中企业投资中非居民用建筑、机械设备、知识产权等投资都在下降,导致固定资本形成总额减少;服务出口和进口增加,但商品出口和进口有所减少;失业率虽有所下降,但一些省份失业率依然高达两位数。这些因素综合造成加拿大2016年全年经济虽有增长但幅度不高。为克服经济增长疲软,加拿大实施贸易多元化战略和国内税收等改革措施,包括与中国商定建立自由贸易区事宜。加拿大贸易的多元化战略将有助于降低来自主要贸易伙伴经济周期波动或不景气带来的冲击或影响。与中国建立自由贸易区的设想一旦付诸实施,也将使加拿大的资源优势、技术优势大大发挥,并借助中国广阔的消费市场,推进加拿大经济的发展。

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    Abstract

    In 2016 Canada's real GDP growth surged over the previous year,mainly due to the contribution of household final consumption expenditure growth.Also,the annual economic growth has many unstable factors,such as the decline in investment and foreign trade,including business gross fixed capital formation in non-residential structures,machinery and equipment,intellectual property products,leading to a reduction in the total amount of fixed capital formation;service exports and imports increased,but the commodity exports and imports decreased;the unemployment rate has been fallen,but in some provinces,the unemployment rate is still as high as two digits.These factors were caused by the overall economic growth of the year,but the magnitude is not high.In order to overcome the weakness of economic growth,Canada has implemented trade diversification strategy and domestic tax reform measures,including the establishment of a free trade zone with China.The author believes that the diversification strategy in Canada's trade will help to reduce the impact of the economic fluctuations and recessions of the major trading partner to the Canada's economy.Once the idea of establishing a free trade zone with China is implemented,it will make Canada's resources and technological advantages to play,with China's vast consumer market,and will promote the development of the Canadian economy.

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    作者简介
    林珏:林珏,博士,上海财经大学国际工商管理学院教授、博士生导师。研究方向为加拿大经济。
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