本文基于人口增长的内部结构视角,分析北京市人口调控政策成效不足的原因。从户籍人口角度来看,北京市人口调控政策不但没有更严格的操作空间,反而因全面放开二孩政策和居住证制度拓宽了增长渠道;从流动人口中的就业人口和非就业人口来看,其控制效果能够从数据上得到验证,但总量依然在增加。因此,北京市人口调控政策应转变思路,从“控”转向“疏”,从疏解低端产业转向疏解高端产业。
<<The Beijing city population control has repeatedly defeated. why?This paper analyzes the effect of population regulation policy in Beijing from the perspective of the internal structure of population growth. From the perspective of the household population,Beijing’s population adjustment policy,not only did not have a more stringent operating space,but to broaden the growth channels,because of the full liberalization of the two child policy and residence permit system. Based on the analysis of the employment and non employment population of floating population,the control effect can be verified from the data,but the total amount is still increasing. Therefore,Beijing’s population control policy change ideas,from “control” to “sparse”,from the ease of low-end industries to the ease of high-end industry.
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