2016年,全球经济增长放缓,贸易和投资活动低迷,大宗商品价格下跌,导致非洲出口下滑,私人消费和投资是拉动非洲经济增长的主要贡献来源。非洲的石油和矿物出口国普遍受到较大冲击,经济陷入衰退或低迷状况。与此同时,埃塞俄比亚、塞内加尔、科特迪瓦等少数国家实现了经济的快速增长。这些国家都在致力于经济多样化发展,通过完善宏观经济政策体系和制度环境来加快经济改革的步伐,力图构建强劲的内生动力。随着西方世界对全球化的反思和逆势而为,未来非洲经济增长需要更加倚重内生动力,从工业化和城市化中寻求新的发展动力,摆脱因过度依赖初级产品出口和经济多样化匮乏导致的经济脆弱性。
<<In 2016,global economic growth slowed,with trade and investment activities in the doldrums,and commodity prices fell sharply,leading to declining exports in Africa. Private consumption and investment were the main contributors to economic growth in Africa. Africa’s oil and mineral exporters were generally hit by a greater impact and reduced to recession or downturn. At the same time,a small number of African countries,such as Ethiopia,Senegal and Côte d’Ivoire,have achieved rapid economic growth. These countries are committed to economic diversification,improvement of the macroeconomic policy system and institutional environment to speed up the pace of economic reform,in effort to build a strong endogenous power. With the Western world’s reflection on globalization and contrarian,the future of African economic growth needs to rely more on endogenous power,industrialization and urbanization through pursuing new development momentum while getting rid of excessive dependence on primary exports and improving economic diversification.
<<