本文利用河南、山东、江苏、浙江及黑龙江5省100个行政村986位农户的调查数据,运用Logistic回归和Lasso系数缩减算法对影响农户施药行为的一系列因素进行实证研究。研究发现:农户的性别、年龄、受教育程度、对农药残留及相关风险的认知、对安全生产的态度、政府的处罚落实程度、农药施用技术培训、农药的价格等因素对农户施药行为产生了显著的影响;农户对主要农作物价格的预测、安全农产品的种植标准、农产品市场销售中的成本收入不平衡等对农户施药行为的影响很复杂。
<<Based on the survey data of 986 households in 100 villages in Henan,Shandong,Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Heilongjiang provinces,this paper study the factors that affect farmers’ pesticide application behavior using logistic regression and Lasso coefficient reduction algorithm. The study found that these factors had a significant impact on farmers’ pesticide application behavior,they are farmers’ gender,age,educational level,the understanding of pesticide residues and the attitude for safe production,the implementation of government’s punitive measures,pesticide application training,pesticide prices,and that,these factors have a complex impact on the behavior of farmers,they are farmers’ forecast of major crop prices,the standard for the cultivation of safe agricultural products,the unbalanced cost in the sale of agricultural products. In addition,household income and farmers’ cognition of relevance between pesticide residue and food safety have a negative impact on farmers’ application behavior.
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