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    泰州市2016年经济运行情况分析及2017年发展预测

    摘要

    2016年在宏观环境严峻复杂、经济下行压力较大的背景下,泰州大力推进供给侧结构性改革,积极实施各项改革措施,经济运行总体平稳,主要经济指标增速处于全省前列。2016年前三季度,泰州市完成地区生产总值2986。4亿元,同比增长9。5%,与南通、宿迁并列全省第1位。综合考虑投资、消费及进出口以和外部宏观因素的影响,2017年泰州经济走势展望:GDP增长在9%左右;固定资产投资将增长15%左右;社会消费品零售总额将增长11。0%左右;进出口将下降6%左右;居民消费价格指数将上涨2%左右,工业品出厂价格指数将止跌回升。2017年泰州经济发展主要从贯彻落实省第十三次党代会以及市第五次党代会精神入手,以新发展理念为指导,以创新驱动产业结构调整,扩大有效投资,培育新动能,促进经济平稳较快增长。

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    Abstract

    In 2016,under the background of severe and complicatedmacroenvironment and great downward pressure on economy,Taizhou city energetically promoted supply-side structural reform and implemented various reform measures. Therefore,economical operation was overall smooth,and growth of major economic indicators was placed in previous row of the whole province. In the first three quarters of 2016,Taizhou city’s GDP totaled 298.64 billion yuan with year-on-year growth of 9.5% and shared first place of whole province with Nantong and Suqian. Comprehensively considering the influence of investment,consumption,import and export,and external macroeconomic factors,Taizhou economic trends in 2017 are prospected as:total retail sales of consumer goods will increase about 11.0%,import and export will decrease about 6%,consumer price index will increase about 2%,and ex-factory price indices of industrial product will rally. Taizhou economic development in 2017 will proceed with the implementation of the spirit of 13th Province Party Congress and 5th City Party Congress. Guided by new developing concepts and driven by innovation,steady and fast economic growth will be promoted through industrial structure adjustment,expanding effective investment,and cultivating new momentum.

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    作者简介
    朱菊萍:朱菊萍,江苏省社会科学院泰州分院经济所所长,助理研究员。
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