失业使消费者收入变动,收入变动会影响消费者的消费。本文利用国家统计局2003年失业、再就业调查数据,对中国城镇失业人口消费与收入之间的关系进行实证分析,结果发现失业者对食品支出具有修匀能力,但是教育支出会受到收入波动的影响。论文证实消费存在着攀比效应,并验证了恩格尔定律。本文的政策涵义是:(1)增加低收入群体的教育补贴,以增强人力资本的可持续性;(2)教育支出的边际消费倾向高于食品支出,增加教育支出可以更有效地拉动内需增长。
<<Unemployment raises the changes of income,which have effect on consumption. This paper analyzes the relation between consumption and income of unemployed men,using Unemployment and Re-employment Survey Data conducted by China N.B.S. in 2003. The conclusion is draw that unemployed men are capable of balancing consumption of food;however,the changes of income lead the great fluctuation of expenditure on education. Expenditure on education declines sharply when current income is less than beforehand income and expected income decreases. Expenditure of food just declines slightly,when current income is less than beforehand income;expenditure of food rises a little when expected income decreases. Further more,the paper proves there is the Bandwagon Effect on consumption,and the Engel’s Law is tested.
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