您好,欢迎来到皮书数据库!
热点推荐: 双循环
更多>> 课题组动态
更多>> 皮书作者
谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    贸易开放促进经济增长的效应有多大?基于面板门槛模型的估计

    摘要

    开放经济背景下,对外贸易发展如何影响经济增长?其作用又会随开放程度深化呈现何种变化特征?从市场化演进视角,本文研究了中国的贸易开放与地区经济增长之间的关联作用。研究表明,贸易开放机制对地区经济增长的促进作用须依赖于当地的市场化进程,并呈现明显的门槛效应:当地区市场化发展高于门槛条件时,贸易开放对经济增长会产生极其显著的促进效果;但当市场化进程低于特定门槛条件时,开放贸易对经济增长的促进作用将受到极大制约而不能很好地释放。因此本文认为,要更好地发挥贸易开放对经济增长的促进作用,不仅要继续深化贸易开放的水平,着力推进开放型经济新体制构建,还应当从多方面着手,加强对国内市场的经济整合,着力提升、培育并完善与地区发展相配套的经济机制和市场环境。

    <<
    >>

    Abstract

    Under the background of such an opening world,how does the development of foreign trade affect economic growth,and what changes will happen to the mechanism as opening deepens?From the perspective of regional market evolution,this paper studies the link between China’s trade opening and local growth. We show that the promoting effect of trade on local economic growth has to rely on the progress of marketization,and it will take on an obvious threshold effect:when the level of market development is higher than the threshold condition,trade opening will produce a very significant effect on growth;when the marketization is below the specific threshold conditions,the promoting effect will be greatly restricted and cannot be well released. Therefore,for better promoting effect,it is not only imperative to continue to deepen the opening level so as to press ahead the new system of open economy,but also necessary to strengthen the integration for domestic market from different aspects so as to improve and cultivate the economic mechanism and market environment which are aligned with local development.

    <<
    >>
    作者简介
    赵永辉:赵永辉,上海海关学院经济与工商管理系讲师。
    <<
    >>
    相关报告