2016年日本银行进一步加大宽松政策力度,先后推出负利率政策及调控长短期利率的量化质化宽松政策,时隔三年将货币政策目标从数量回归至利率。在货币政策的作用下,短期金融市场利率迅速下跌,交易量减少,中长期债券市场利率降低,股票市场持续上扬,外汇市场波动明显。在新型货币政策框架下,虽然日本银行采取多项举措,在一定程度上暂时抑制了长期利率上升,但未来伴随日美利差加大,长期利率将面临推升压力,日本银行调控难度将不断加大。日本银行长期持续的超宽松政策对债券市场流动性、财政重建及央行财务状况产生了负面影响。
<<In 2016,the Bank of Japan(BOJ)has intensified its easing policy and launched the Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing(QQE)with a negative interest rate and QQE with Yield Curve Control policy,shifting monetary policy target from JGP purchases to interest rates. Under the effect of new monetary policy,there is a downward trend for short-term financial market interest rates,the transaction volume and medium and long-term bond market interest rates,with the stock market continuing to rise and the foreign exchange market fluctuating. With the new policy framework,BOJ temporarily pauses long-term interest rate to some extent by several moves,but in the future,it will be more difficult to control long-term interest rates with the higher of Japan-American spreads. The ultra easing policy of BOJ will bring negative influence on bond market liquidity,fiscal reconstruction as well as BOJ’s financial situation.
<<Keywords: | Monetary PolicyFinancial MarketNegative Interest RateYield Curve ControlQuantitative and Qualitative Easing(QQE) |