2016年世界经济仍处于低迷状态,全球贸易增长率下降,世界贸易总量增长1。9%,比2015年下降0。8个百分点。同期,中国农产品进出口总额同比下降1。5%。其中,农产品出口额增长3。5%,农产品进口额下降4。6%,这反映出农产品贸易额下降变化中有升的特点。2016年谷物进口增长过快有所改变,玉米进口同比减少33。0%,大麦进口同比减少53。4%,高粱进口同比减少37。9%。但是,国内外主粮品种价格倒挂并未缩小,新时期粮食安全问题更加显著。2017年世界经济增长形势依然不容乐观,存在一系列不确定因素。农业供给侧结构性改革,有助于农产品对外贸易健康发展。
<<With the slowdown of the world economy in 2016,the growth rate in global trade was declined. The world trade volume increased by 1.9% in 2016,0.8% lower than that in 2015. During the same period,China’s total imports and exports of agricultural products dropped by 1.5%,of which the exports rose 3.5%,and the imports fell by 4.6%,respectively.
In 2016,the grain import growth decelerated. The corn imports fell by 33.0%;the barley imports fell by 53.4%,and the sorghum imports fell by 37.9%. However,the situation was still existing that the domestic prices of the main grains were much higher than the international prices. Thus the grain security worth more attention.
In 2017,the global economic growth would be still unoptimistic,because of the various uncertainties. The structural reform in the agricultural supply side would be helpful to promote the trade of China’s agricultural products in the international markets.
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