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    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    “全面小康”进程人民生活发展总体评价——2000~2015年民生指数检测

    摘要

    2000~2015年,全国城乡综合演算的各类民生数据人均值持续稳步增长,2015年居民收入为2000年的5。96倍,总消费为5。51倍,物质生活消费为5。14倍,非物生活消费为6。40倍,积蓄为7。52倍。但居民收入比从46。37%较明显下降至43。94%,居民消费率从35。91%明显下降至31。43%,“十二五”期间略有回升;尤其应注意居民收入年均增长明显低于财政收入年增4。18个百分点,居民消费支出年均增长明显低于财政支出年增4。59个百分点。居民收入、总消费、物质生活消费、非物生活消费、积蓄地区差全方位不断缩小,居民消费需求(包括总消费及物质生活、非物生活消费三个方面)城乡比全面逐步缩小,居民收入、积蓄城乡比缩减幅度不大甚或继续扩大。物质生活消费比重较明显降低4。73个百分点,非物生活消费比重较明显增高4。73个百分点,消费结构出现较大“升级”变化;而居民积蓄率从22。57%持续明显升高至28。47%,反过来对消费需求的抑制作用加重。

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    Abstract

    From 2000 to 2015,the per capita value of all types of people’s livelihood data in national urban and rural comprehensive calculation steadily continue to increase,the residents’ income in 2015 is 5.96 times of that in 2000,the overall consumption is 5.51 times,the physical living consumption is 5.14 times,the non-physical living consumption is 6.40 times and the amassment is 7.52 times. But the ratio of residents’ income certainly fall from 46.37% to 43.94% and the ratio of residents’ consumption evidently fall from 35.91% to 31.43%,it recover slightly while the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period. Especially ought to notice,the average annual growth of residents’ income is evidently 4.18 percentage points lower than the annual growth of fiscal revenues and the average annual growth of residents’ consumption expenditure is evidently 4.59 percentage points lower than the annual growth of fiscal expenditure. The regional disparity of residents’ income,total consumption,physical living consumption,non-physical living consumption and amassment roundly continue to be reduced,the ratio of the urban and rural of residents’ consumption demand (including total consumption,physical living consumption and non-physical living consumption)roundly continue to be reduced,the ratio of the urban and rural of residents’ income and amassment slightly be reduced and even continuously be extended. The proportion of residents’ physical living consumption certainly debase over 4.73 percentage points and the proportion of residents’ non-physical living consumption certainly heighten over 4.73 percentage points,the consumption structure appearance certain “upgrade” change. However the ratio of residents’ amassment evidently continue to rise from 22.57% to 28.47%,the action which restrains residents’ consumption demand aggravate.

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    作者简介
    王亚南:王亚南,云南省社会科学院研究员,文化发展研究中心主任。
    刘婷:刘婷,云南省社会科学院研究员,文化发展研究中心秘书长。
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