本文构建了一个涉及流动性错配与银行挤兑的银行业无限期界宏观经济模型。研究发现,银行挤兑均衡是否存在取决于银行资产负债表以及银行资产的内生清算价格。尽管在正常时期银行挤兑均衡可能不存在,但在经济衰退中出现的概率增加。挤兑会导致信用中介和总体经济活动出现显著萎缩,即使挤兑不会发生,挤兑的预期同样会对经济产生负面影响。该模型的构建有助于揭示近期金融危机中的一些关键点。
<<We develop an infinite horizon macroeconomic model of banking that allows for liquidity mismatch and bank runs. Whether a bank run equilibrium exists depends on bank balance sheets and an endogenous liquidation price for bank assets. While in normal times a bank run equilibrium may not exist,the possibility can arise in recessions. A run leads to a significant contraction in intermediation and aggregate economic activity. Anticipations of a run have harmful effects on the economy even if the run does not occur. We illustrate how the model can shed light on some key aspects of the recent financial crisis.
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