本文利用历史数据分析法和相关性分析方法,对2003~2015年四川银行业金融机构主要经济数据进行分析,以稳定性较好的信贷增速为假设,对2016年、2017年四川银行业主要经济指标进行预测和检验。基于信贷增长与地区经济增长之间存在的相关性,本文以信贷转化率为假设,对2016年、2017年四川省地区生产总值(GDP)进行了预测和检验。
<<The article analyzes Sichuan banking financial institutions’ major economic data from 2003 to 2015,using the method of historical data analysis and correlation analysis. Then predicts and inspects the Sichuan banking’s main economic indicators in 2016 and 2017,basing on the assumption of good stability credit growth. After that,taking the conversion rate for the hypothesis,forecasts and inspects Sichuan regional gross domestic product in the year of 2016 and 2017 in the terms of correlation and conversion rate between credit growth and regional economic growth.
<<Keywords: | Regional EconomyGrowthSichuan Banking |