本文从我国如何通过货币政策治理通货膨胀的问题出发,结合我国开放经济和转轨经济中国有企业、非国有企业面临不同经济约束的“二元企业结构”特征,分别从货币当局目标函数的选取、约束条件的设立方面进行了扩展,构建最优货币政策模型,并运用动态分布滞后模型和协整分析对约束条件的设定进行了实证检验。最后,根据分析得出的政策变量与经济体行为变量的影响关系,提出了应对当前通货膨胀的政策建议。
<<To study how to relieve the inflation pressure by monetary policy in China,we consider two important characters influencing the policy choice in Chinese economy,one is that China is an open economy,the other is duality structure of state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises. Then we extend the optimal monetary model with these two restrictions and add exchange rate objective in objective function. Using the econometric method of Johansen Co-integration test and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model,we show the empirical results for the restrictive functions. By analyzing the relations between policy variables and economic behavior variables,we give some suggestion for monetary policy to control inflation rate.
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