美国“两房”未来的命运,很大程度取决于两党在国会中的博弈。共和党希望尽快通过议案进行改革,最终形成一个完全竞争的、脱离政府担保支持的住房金融系统。民主党目前还没有明确的改革思路,但是也提出了改革计划。本文介绍和分析了美国共和党和民主党在“两房”改革上的计划。最后做出如下判断:一是“两房”退市不会影响“两房”改革的进程;二是“两房”改革是一个长期的过程;三是“两房”在十年内将处于亏损状态;四是“两房”会被分拆为私有企业和国有机构两大部分。
<<>The fate of Fannie and Freddie depends to a large extent on the game between the two parties in Congress.Republicans hope to pass the motion to reform immediately,and form a housing finance system with full of competition at last.The Democratic Party has still no clear ideas for reform,but also proposed a reform plan.This article describes and analyzes the Republican and Democratic reform plan on Fannie and Freddie.Finally the paper made the following judgments:First,Fannie and Freddie delisted from the stock market will not affect the reform process;second,It is a long-term process of reform;third,Fannie and Freddie will be at a loss in a decade;Fourth,Fannie and Freddie will be divided into two parts:private enterprises and state institutions.
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