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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2010年上半年中国货币政策分析与展望

    摘要

    2010年上半年,中国继续实行适度宽松的货币政策,但宽松力度有所减弱。中国人民银行三次上调了金融机构存款准备金率,货币供给逐渐平稳回落;引导银行把握信贷总量、节奏和结构,加强金融风险防范;银行体系流动性基本适度,人民币汇率形成机制改革稳步推进,金融运行总体平稳。但也出现了资产价格剧烈波动、实际利率水平为负值、股票市场整体走弱和系统性金融风险集聚的情况。下半年,货币政策应当重点关注前期政策的叠加效应,继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,保持政策的连续性和稳定性,加强政策的前瞻性、针对性和灵活性,妥善处理保持经济平稳较快增长、调整经济结构和维护金融稳定之间关系。

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    Abstract

    >In the first half of 2010,China has maintained moderately loose monetary policy,which is,however,not easy as before.People’s Bank of China raised deposit reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions three times which caused money supply to contract at stable pace,guiding commercial banks to control the total amount,velocity and structure of credit,and enhancing risk monitoring and management.Banking system liquidity has been kept at moderate level.RMB exchange rate regime reform has been steadily developed,and financial system has been operated stably.However,there are some problems we need to tackle.For example,abnormal fluctuations of property price,negative real rate of interest,bear market rally,as well as systemic risk accumulation.In the second half of 2010,Chinese monetary policy should focus on the accumulative effect of the preliminary stage of the policy and continue moderately loose monetary policy with persistence and stability,enhancing policy perspectives and flexibility so as to achieve steady and fast economic growth,adjustment of economy structure and stable financial system.

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    作者简介
    徐洪才:徐洪才,中国国际经济交流中心。
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