2010年5月份CPI同比上涨3。1%,年内首次超过3%的调控警戒线,6月份CPI同比小幅回落至2。9%,对通胀压力是否加大,机构和专家意见并不一致。经我们分析认为,上半年价格上涨的势头略有加强,并没有显示出趋缓迹象,CPI上涨高峰可能出现在7月份前后,冲高回落后价格将步入下行通道,全年价格调控目标基本可实现,通胀和加息压力均会有所减轻。
<<>In May the CPI rose 3.1% beyond the 3% of price control benchmark.CPI got a slowly drop to 2.9% year on year.Research institutions and experts didn’t agree about whether or not the inflation pressures will increase in the second half of 2010.We analyzed that the rise in price was moderately strengthened,and didn’t show any signs of slowing down.The top of CPI growth rate may appear in July and be close to 4%.The price will go down after the top point.The basic goal of price control of this year can be achieved.The pressure of inflation and increased interest rate will be reduced in the second half of 2010.
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