2016年世界经济增速进一步放缓,就业增长放慢。大宗商品价格触底反弹,但仍在中低价位运行,全球物价水平有所回升,通货紧缩压力下降。国际贸易更加低迷,国际直接投资活动有所放缓,全球债务水平继续上升,国际金融市场持续动荡。世界经济面临许多重大挑战。这些挑战包括:全球潜在增长率下降,金融市场更加脆弱,美国成为世界经济不稳定的来源,贸易投资增长乏力,收入分配与财富分配越来越不平等,反全球化趋势日益明显。这些因素将抑制世界经济强劲、可持续、平衡和包容增长。同时,地缘政治风险、难民危机、大国政治周期、恐怖主义等问题仍然在影响世界经济的稳定与发展。预计2017年按PPP计算的世界GDP增长率约为3。0%。
<<The world economic growth further slowed in 2016 as well as employment growth. The prices of commodities kept in low-middle band after rebound and global inflation increased lightly. International trade and investment have been depressed since 2012. Global outstanding debt has been rising continuously and international financial market fluctuated frequently. There are many challenges facing world economy,which include falling global potential economic growth rate,more fragile financial market,instability caused by the change of U.S. policies,low growth of international trade and investment,more inequality of income,and more serious anti-globalization. These challenges will restrain the strong,sustainable,balanced and inclusive growth of world economy. Moreover,geopolitical risks,refugee crisis,political cycle of great powers and terrorism may bring negative effects on the stability and development of world economy. It is expected that the PPP-based GDP growth rate of the world economy is 3.0% in 2017.
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