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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    宏观稳定政策显效,改革深化提升效率——2017年经济的展望

    摘要

    2016年GDP、CPI、汇率三大指标均在目标范围之内,前三季度经济增长了6。7%,“十三五”开局之年基本保证了6。5%以上的增长;通货膨胀率在2%左右的水平,完成了年初的控制目标,生产价格指数(PPI)9月转正,结束了54个月的下跌;汇率方面,人民币兑换美元贬值达到4%,但也在预期范围内。整体来看,2016年中国的宏观稳定政策取得了积极效果,未来中国经济迈入中高端的关键是效率持续改善。

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    Abstract

    The three indicators:GDP,CPI and exchange rate are all remained within the scope of the target in 2016. The first three quarters in the year has been increased with 6.7 percent,and the growth has been guaranteed with at least 6.5 percent in the first year of “13th Five-Year” plan. The inflation rate is increased at around 2 percent which is also within the controlled objectives. The Producer Price Index(PPI)terminated its 54-months decline and has been changed to positive since September. In the field of exchange rate,the devaluation of the RMB against the U.S. dollars has been reached to 4 percent which is also within the expected range. Overall,China’s macroeconomic stabilization policy has achieved positive results in 2016;the key for China’s future economy entering into a middle-high end is the continuous improvement of efficiency.

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    作者简介
    张平:张平,中国社会科学院经济研究所研究员。
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