TPP是新西兰有史以来签订的最大规模的自由贸易协定,将开拓一个占世界经济总量36%、涵盖8亿人口的广阔市场。预计将每年为新西兰出口企业节省2。74亿新元关税,2030年前每年提振新西兰经济27亿新元等。但是,新西兰人对TPP存在诸多犹疑,主要集中在不满于最关键的乳制品获益不足、担心知识产权规则导致药品价格上升、忧心投资者—国家争端解决机制(ISDS)影响国家主权和调控能力等。尽管如此,结合新西兰的国情以及加入和不加入的分析,新西兰很有可能在2017年大选前顺利批准TPP。
<<TPP,the New Zealand’s biggest free trade agreement,will develop a market of more than 800 million customers and 36% of world GDP for New Zealand exporters. Estimated NZ$27 million of tariffs would be eliminated on New Zealand products and Estimated NZ$2.7 billion is added to New Zealand’s GDP(in 2007 dollars)by 2030 etc. However,New Zealanders have some concerns on TPP,mainly reflected in low benefits of critical dairy products,drug prices rise caused by the intellectual property rules,investors-state dispute settlement mechanism(ISDS)influence national sovereignty and regulatory capabilities. Nevertheless,considering New Zealand’s national conditions as well as the results of becoming or not becoming a party of TPP,New Zealand is likely to approve TPP smoothly before 2017 election.
<<Keywords: | TPPNew ZealandISDS |