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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    “十三五”期间我国风能太阳能发展关键问题及“绿证”政策探讨

    摘要

    “十二五”期间,我国风能和太阳能快速发展。“十三五”期间,在经济调整转型、能源需求放缓的背景下,风能和太阳能发展将面临更大的挑战,如并网不足导致弃风、弃光现象严重;缺乏有效机制保障可再生能源的环境效益;电力需求下降,财政资金不足,可再生能源全额保障性收购和补贴政策无法落实到位,资金缺口增大。为了解决上述问题,能源部门适时提出了非水可再生能源配额证书交易机制(即“绿证”交易机制)。“绿证”交易可以有效地解决当前补贴资金不足的问题,保障2020年可再生能源比例目标的达成,推动我国电力市场改革和碳交易市场建设。我国已具备建立“绿证”交易市场的条件,但仍需做好“绿证”交易市场制度及配套机制的顶层设计。

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    Abstract

    The wind and solar electricity had great achievement during the “12th Five-year” period. However,the wind and solar industry will face more challenges during the “13th Five-year” period,for example,large curtailment of wind and solar power due to limited integration;absence of mechanism to level the playing field for the environment benefits of the renewable energies;increasing gap of subsidy due to decreasing electricity demand and limited fiscal budget,and so on. In order to solve these dilemmas,the National Energy Administration proposes a new scheme which requires the coal-fired power plants to trade the non-hydro renewable quota(i.e. “Green Certificate”). The “Green Certificate” Scheme can solve the above problems;meanwhile it can guarantee the renewable energy targets in 2020,become an important impetus for the electricity market reform and foundation for carbon emission trading scheme building in China. China now has already satisfied the requirements for the “Green Certificate” Scheme;however,it still needs more top-level designs and supporting mechanisms.

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    作者简介
    刘昌义:刘昌义,国家气候中心高级工程师,研究方向为可持续发展经济学。
    朱蓉:朱蓉,国家气候中心研究员,研究方向为大气污染潜势气候影响评估和风能资源评估与预测。
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