本文基于随机前沿引力模型,采用中国对24个贸易伙伴金融服务贸易出口面板数据,对中国金融服务贸易出口潜力及效率进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:人均GDP、与中国之间的距离、相对距离以及多边开放度、是否与中国相邻等,都对中国金融服务贸易出口有显著影响;中国对主要贸易国普遍存在贸易不足现象,金融服务贸易出口仍存在很大的增长潜力;贸易国经济自由度指数、金融服务贸易出口占总服务贸易出口的比例、是否签订自贸协议,都会对中国金融服务贸易出口效率产生显著影响;当前中国金融服务贸易出口效率仍相对较低。
<<Based on the panel data of China’s financial service trade export to 24 partners,this paper does an empirical research on the export potential and efficiency of China’s financial service trade by stochastic frontier model. The results show that:the per capita GDP,the distance between the two countries,relative distance and multiple openness,nations whether adjacent with our country all have significant impacts on China’s financial services trade export;our country has a common trade deficiencies with our major trading partners;there a great growth potential in our financial service export. In the study of the efficiency of China’s financial service trade export,we found that trading nations’ economic freedom index,the proportion of the export of financial service trade to total export in services all have significant influences on the efficiency of China’s financial service trade export,the current financial service trade export efficiency of our country is still relatively low.
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