一个国家或地区的对外经济关系会对国内不同主体产生不同的影响。本文基于省域面板数据,采用空间计量分析方法,研究了人民币实际有效汇率对中国城乡收入差距的影响。结果表明,中国的城乡收入差距在地理分布上呈现从东到西逐步提升的状况,各地区的城乡收入差距水平存在显著的空间正相关性;实际有效汇率与城乡收入差距之间存在稳定的正相关关系。实证结果还表明:城市化程度,第二、第三产业就业占比以及出口规模与城乡收入差距之间都存在显著负相关性;而通货膨胀水平、城镇工资水平和平均受教育程度的提高则会扩大城乡收入差距;中国各地区FDI流入对城乡收入差距的影响并不显著。
<<One country’s foreign economic relations have different effects on its domestic agents. Based on provincial panel data,using spatial econometric analysis,this article analyses the effect of real effective exchange rate on income gap between urban and rural. Urban-rural income gap is not uniformly distributed on geography,and the western areas’ gap is larger than the eastern ones. There is significant spatial positive correlation in different region’s urban-rural income gap. The empirical results indicate that the real effective exchange rate and urban-rural income gap have robust positive relation;and urbanization,second and third industry employment ratio and export scale are significant negatively correlated with urban-rural income difference;and inflation rate,urban wages and education level are positive correlated with urban-rural income difference;and FDI ratio of the entire economy is small,and their relation is not significant.
<<Keywords: | Real Effective Exchange RateIncome Gap between Urban and RuralSpatial CorrelationSpatial Econometrics Model |