从科普经费、科普人员和科普设施三个方面研究了科普投入对科普事业发展的驱动作用。选取了科普投入方面的18个指标和科普产出方面的10个指标,采用2014年全国31个省(市、自治区)的统计数据,使用典型相关分析法,进行了横向分析。分析认为:经费投入是科普事业发展的根本保证,人员投入是科普事业发展的核心和关键,设施投入是科普事业发展的基础工程。最后提出了科普事业发展的建议:一要稳定增加全社会科普经费投入;二要着力建设专业化科普人才队伍,更好地发挥科普兼职人员作用;三要充实、拓展专业及特色科普场馆和基层科普基础设施,完善国家科普基础设施体系。
<<We study on the driving force of the input in the development of science popularization,according to the research of the popular science funds,personnel and facilities. Relying on the Canonical Correlation Analysis,we choose 18 indicators of the popular science investments and 10 indicators of achievements,in line with the statistical data of 31 provinces(regions and municipalities)in 2014,to do the Cross-section Analysis. Regarding to the popular science development,we come to the conclusion that investment is the fundamental guarantee;personnel is the core and crux while facility is the basic. Last but not least,we come up with some suggestions for the popular science development. Firstly,we should gradually increase the popular science input;secondly,we have to pay more focus on the construction of the professional popular science personnel,while allowing the part-timer to play a more essential role. Thirdly,we’d better to enrich and expand the construction of professional and characteristic science resources and the grass-root science facilities,meanwhile refining the infrastructure systems of the national popularization of science.
<<Keywords: | Driving ForceCanonical Correlation AnalysisCross-section AnalysisInput of Science Popularization |