基于年龄结构对居民消费的影响,本文通过对于居民消费的分解与加权汇总,构建出包含社会抚养比与人均可支配收入的省际居民人均消费函数,并利用我国2005~2014年的省际面板数据对该函数进行了实证分析。结果表明,在一定的收入水平下,我国老年人口的消费倾向最高,成年人口居中,少儿人口最低;少儿人口和老年人口的消费倾向随着收入的增加而降低,成年人口的消费倾向随着收入的增加而提高;少儿抚养比的上升将降低居民人均消费倾向,而老年抚养比的上升将提高居民人均消费倾向。
<<To study the impacts of age distribution on household consumption,this paper develops a provincial household per capita consumption function based on social dependency ratio and household per capita disposable income through the decomposition and weighed aggregation of household consumption,which is then estimated using China’s provincial panel data from 2005 to 2014. The result indicates that under certain range of disposable income,the elderly and the children have the highest and lowest propensity to consume respectively,while the propensity of the adults falls in between. With the increase of disposable income,the propensity to consume of the children and the elderly gets lower while that of the adults behaves in an opposite way. Empirically,the increase of children’s and elderly dependency ratio separately decreases and increases the household per capita propensity to consume.
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