文化创意产业作为北京市的主要支柱产业,不仅在实现北京城市功能定位上发挥着举足轻重的作用,同时发展文创产业也是实现创意城市和发展生态城市的重要举措。本文基于灰色系统理论,以2006~2014年北京市文化创意产业数据为例,采用灰色关联、灰色聚类和灰色预测分析模型,定量分析北京文化创意产业行业关联度、产业内发展结构,预测未来三年发展趋势,提出未来北京市应该在软件、网络及计算机服务、设计服务和广告会展行业加大政策支持与投入力度,充分利用“互联网+”的浪潮促进创意文化产业的发展。
<<Beijing’s cultural and creative industry as main pillar industries,not only played a pivotal role in the capital city function positioning,but also was an important bridge to achieve creative and ecological city. Based on the grey system theory,this paper took Beijing’s cultural and creative industries data from 2006 to 2014 as an example and established grey correlation,grey clustering as well as grey prediction model in order to analyze sector correlation,intra-industry development structure and the development trend of the next three years. According to the result,a policy recommendation was proposed that Beijing should increase policy support and investment in the software,network and computer services,as well as design services and advertising the exhibition industry,which made full use of Internet plus initiatives to promote the development of the new era of creative culture.
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