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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2012年深圳市房地产市场解析与2013年展望

    摘要

    与国内其他一线城市类似,2012年深圳房地产市场先抑后扬,岁末翘尾,楼市热度回升。新建市场方面,商品住宅量升价涨,写字楼量价齐跌、空置激增,商业用房量价双升;二手市场方面,商品住宅持续繁荣,写字楼震荡下行,商业用房价格平稳上涨;租赁市场方面,商品住宅租金稳步上扬,写字楼租金先抑后扬,商业用房租金涨幅明显;土地市场方面,居住用地多数底价成交,商住混合用地备受青睐;土地增量方面,土地整备有序开展,整备质量明显提高。展望2013年,住宅市场将维持调控基调,市场或将温和回暖。居住用地或供需两旺,成交价格亦重拾升势。前海中心建设稳步推进,“土改”试点将助力集体土地产业转型,城市更新成为土地供给主力。 <<
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    Abstract

    Like many other cities in China,beginning with depression,Shenzhen's real estate market turns around at the end of 2012.In primary market,both the price and volume of residential market were rising.The price and volume of the office building market were both decreasing,and the vacancy rate was becoming higher.The commercial building market showed an increase of price and volume.In the secondary market,the residential and the office building markets were booming; the office building market decreased fluctuatingly.In the rental market,the rent of the residential and the office building market were increasing steadily; while the rent of the commercial building market decreased at first and then increased at the end.In the land market,the transaction of residential lands was at a base price.Mixed-used lands combining residence building and commercial building house were preferred.In land supply,orderly land development was carried out.The quality of the parcels was improved. Looking into 2013,control policies of real estate market are expected to continue.It may have a slowly bullish trend in the market.The supply and demand of residential land may be heavy.The strike price of residential land may be higher.The Qianhai center is under construction."Land reform" pilot will promote the collective land to transform an industry.The supply of land from urban renewal will be the main force. <<
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    作者简介
    张显:深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生
    颜英:深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生
    吴振兴:吴振兴,深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生,排名不分先后。
    宋博通:建筑学博士后,深圳大学基建部主任,深圳大学房地产研究中心常务副主任、副教授,研究方向为住房政策、城市经济与房地产市场。
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