2015年住宅市场整体去库存调整。商品住宅施工面积出现1998年以来的首次负增长,新开工面积继续两位数负增长;商品住宅投资增速延续快速回落态势,创1998年以来的历史新低;商品住宅销售面积同比变化自第二季度转正,全年销售量为历史次高水平;70个大中城市新建住宅价格6月份以来企稳回升,区域分化态势明显;各季度居住用地价格持续环比上涨,第三季度价格涨幅最高。预计2016年住宅销售面积与2015年大致相当,住宅开发投资增速保持低位,住宅价格保持基本平稳的可能性较大。
<<The housing market in 2015 experienced a de-stocking process. The growth rate of housing under-construction was negative for the first time,and the amount of housing started continued to decrease with double-digit negative growth rate. The growth rate of residential investment fell sharply and arrived to a record low since 1998. The floor space of housingsold was higher than that of last year and the amount is the second highest in the history. Housing price demonstrated stable with a slight increase from June in 2015,with an obvious regional division. The land price still rose quarter on quarter,and the growth rate was larger in the third quarter. We estimate that the amount of housing sold in 2016 would be similar to that in 2015,the growth rate of residential investment would keep a low level,and the housing price would be stable.
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