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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2015年犯罪形势分析及2016年预测

    摘要

    2015年,在国际社会,恐怖活动日益猖獗;在国内,经济上的下行压力和政治上的反腐力度都在持续加大,证券市场出现非理性变化,环境污染特别是雾霾持续多日严重超标,等等。受这些国际局势和国内政治因素、经济因素、社会因素等的影响,中国2015年的犯罪态势依旧十分严峻。本文首先论述了2015年暴力恐怖犯罪十分猖獗、职务犯罪大案要案增幅空前、危害生产安全、环境安全和食品药品安全的犯罪突出、毒品犯罪不断攀升、金融和证券犯罪剧增、电信网络犯罪暴涨的现状;然后对2016年犯罪形势进行了预测与展望,指出严重危及政权安全和人民群众生命安全的暴力恐怖犯罪会得到一定的控制,但情势依然不容乐观;与人民群众日常生活息息相关的危害食品药品安全犯罪、环境犯罪将得到有效遏制,但电信网络犯罪会继续暴增;影响经济安全的非法集资类犯罪、证券犯罪、侵犯知识产权犯罪等还会持续增长;职务犯罪将随着中国反腐败的深入出现增量明显下降、存量有所减少的态势,大案要案的总数也会降低。 <<
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    Abstract

    By 2015, in the international community, terrorism rampant; in the domestic, economic downward pressure and political efforts to fight corruption are continued to increase, the stock market appears irrational change in, environmental pollution especially continued haze days seriously overweight, and so on. By these international situation and domestic political factors, economic factors, social factors, the impact of China's 2015 crime situation is still very grim. This paper first discusses the status quo of 2015 violent terrorist crime is rampant, the crime of major cases, unprecedented increase production safety, environmental safety hazards and safety of food and drug crime, drug crime, highlighting the rising financial and securities crimes increase, telecommunications network crime soared; then make a prediction of the crime situation in 2016, pointed out that seriously endanger regime security and safety of the people of the violent terrorist crimes will get some control, but the situation is still not optimistic; closely related to people's daily life, the harm of food and drug safety crime, environmental crime will be effectively curbed, but telecom network crime will continue to surge; affect the economic security of the illegal fund-raising crime, the crime of securities infringe upon intellectual property crime will continue to increase; duty crime with China anti-corruption The depth increment decreased significantly, the stock has appeared to reduce the trend, the total number of cases will be reduced. <<
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    作者简介
    黄芳:黄芳,中国社会科学院法学研究所研究员。
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