四川省清洁能源产业发展已经成为西部乃至全国能源系统中的重要组成部分。本文重点分析了四川省水电、天然气、风能、太阳能等清洁能源产业的发展现状和特点。通过分析全省能源电力消费增长与经济增长的相关关系,建立了四川省能源消费与经济增长、电力消费与经济增长两个回归模型。并据此预测认为:2016年四川省能源电力生产将继续保持3%~5%的增长速度,能源消费量将同比增加3。99%~4。56%。2016年全省电力消费量同比增加6。23%~7。12%。
<<The development of clean energy industry in Sichuan province has become an important part in western and national energy system. This paper analyzes the development status and characteristics of clean energy industry,such as hydropower,natural gas,wind energy,solar energy and so on in Sichuan province. Through the analysis of the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the province,two regression models(energy consumption and economic growth,electricity consumption and economic growth)in Sichuan province are established. It is forecast that the energy and electricity production in Sichuan in 2016,will continue to maintain the growth rate of 3% to 5%,the energy consumption will be increased by 3.99% to 4.56%,the total energy demand is expected to reach 200 million tons of standard coal;the province’s electricity consumption will be increased by 6.23% to 7.12%,the total electricity demand is expected to reach 250 TWh.
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