制裁与反制裁,以及与之相伴随的卢布贬值和国际油价大幅下跌,导致俄罗斯经济持续下滑并出现负增长。同时,开始出现财政赤字,外汇储备水平也已经无法抵补巨额的外债,通胀高企和卢比贬值并存的情况进一步恶化,对外贸易加速下滑,贸易结构几无改善。但是,俄罗斯民众对普京的支持率并没有出现如欧美预计的那种变动。俄罗斯经济问题的解决,应侧重东西平衡,并对其经济、政治和法律制度进行改革,以改善投资环境和商业信心,减少经济上对石油的依赖。
<<The Russian economy continues to decline,and negative growth emerges because of sanctions and anti-sanctions,devaluation of the ruble and a sharp decline in international oil prices. Meanwhile,the budget deficit began to appear,the level of foreign exchange reserves were also unable to offset the huge foreign debt. The situation which high inflation and devaluation of the rupee coexist further deteriorates. Foreign trade decline rapidly,and trade structure has almost no improvement. However,Putin’s support rate from the Russian people did not change as Europe and USA expected. Russia government should focus on balance between the East and the West,reform their economic,political and legal systems,improve the investment climate and business confidence,and reduce the dependence on oil.
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