2015年中国工业增速缓中趋稳,消费持续平稳增长,房地产市场销售持续回暖,基础设施投资增速虽有波动但势头趋强,过剩产能处置力度加大,股市风险得到控制,中国经济在错综复杂的国内外形势下,经济增速继续回调,预计经济增速回调已接近触底。预计2016年出口增速在5%左右,投资增长率预计为11%左右,消费实际增长率预计为10。5%左右,中国经济有望为“十三五”时期实现平稳开局。政府必须把稳增长与推进经济转型升级紧密结合,通过不断改善发展环境、提高微观基础和经济结构对环境变化的适应能力,加快培育和巩固经济增长的新常态。
<<In 2015,China’s industrial growth has been slow to stabilize,consumption continues to grow steadily,and real estate sales continue to pick up. Despite the fact that investment in infrastructure has grown with fluctuation,there is still a strong investment willingness. Besides,the efforts to get rid of overcapacity are increasing,and the stock market risk is under control. Under the complicated domestic and international situation,the correction of China’s economic growth will continue and is expected to reach its lowest point. It is predicted that the export growth rate will be at around 5%,the investment growth rate will be around 11%,and the real consumption growth rate will be 10.5% in 2016. China’s economy is expected to achieve a smooth recovery during the 13th Five-Year Plan. The government should connect stable growth with economic transformation. At the same time,the government should accelerate the development and consolidation of economic growth in the New Normal by continuously improving environmental development,economic structure,and the microfoundation of environmental adaption.
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